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» Simit's Stock Portfolio & Trading Plan
The Portfolio

The portfolio below does not include Simit's investments in high growth potential companies with market capitalization below $100 million. Those investments and more are available to Gold Club subscribers.

The Plan

1. I'm willing to risk at least 50%, while looking for at least 5X return on overall portfolio.
2. Buy at support, or a massive sell-off. Focus accumulation of uranium miners employing ISR techniques, gold miners with unique properties, royalty gold stocks, and firms with top management.
3. If any position doubles in value, sell half.
4. Hold the rest till top of market. For uranium miners, this is at least a price per pound of $140 in the uranium market; for gold, it depends: need to see a new international monetary agreement and some type of resolution to the global sovereign debt crisis.
5. Exit uranium if China and India back off nuclear.
6. Possibly exit on change of management.
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» Kyrgyzstan maintains rate as inflation slows
Apr 27, 2015 - by InformedTrades
Kyrgyzstan's central bank maintained its policy rate at 11.0 percent, saying inflation had slowed down but the country remains "affected by external factors."
The National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic, which has raised its rate by 500 basis points since July 2014 to curb inflationary pressures from a depreciation of the som currency, said the country's economic growth was still being affected by the slowdown of its major trade partners and its policy was geared toward achieving inflation rates of 5-7 percent in the medium term.
As of mid-April Kyrgyzstan's inflation rate eased to 7.8 percent from 10.5 percent at the end of 2014 and 8.5 percent in March and a year-high of 11.6 percent in January.
High economic growth in the first quarter of 7.0 percent was mainly due to output from the Kumtor gold mine, with real Gross Domestic Product excluding Kumtor of 3.4 percent.
The Kyrgyzstani some began depreciating in August 2014 and hit a year-low of 63.9 to the U.S. dollar in early April but has risen since April 21. Today it was quoted at 61.1, down 3.6 percent since the start of 2015.
On April 8 the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a 3-year, US$92 million extended credit facility to the Kyrgyz Republic to help its government reduce economic vulnerabilities stemming from "a weak regional environment and dependency on gold and remittances."
The IMF said the Kyrgyz central bank would continue focusing on price stability and limit foreign exchange interventions to "smoothing excessive volatility without resisting exchange rate trends," with a strong communication strategy considered essential to the success of monetary policy.
The IMF forecast total GDP growth of 1.7 percent this year, down from an estimated 3.6 percent in 2014, with non-gold GDP growth of 2.7 percent in 2015 compared with 4.6 percent in 2014. Inflation is seen averaging 10.7 percent this year, up from an average 7.5 percent in 2014.

The National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic issued the following statement:

"On April 27, 2015, the Board of the National of the Kyrgyz Republic decided to keep the policy rate unchanged at the level of 11 percent.
Analysis of economic situation indicates that, on the one hand, there is slowdown in growth of consumer price index; on the other hand, economic development of the country is still affected by external factors.
Economic situation in the countries major trade partners has still been affecting slowdown of economic growth in our country through the channels of foreign trade and remittances.
As of the middle of April, inflation rate in annual terms decreased from 10.5 percent to 7.8 percent at the end of 2014. High indicators of economic growth in January-March 2015 (7.0 percent) were primarily conditioned by growth of output at the enterprises of the Kumtor gold mine. Growth rate of real GDP excluding Kumtor constituted 3.4 percent (in January-March 2014 4.4 percent).
Taking into account risks of slowdown in external and internal demand, as well as dynamics of inflationary tendency, the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic will continue monitoring the situation in the economy of the country and consistent with the statutory mandate will take appropriate measures of monetary policy. The monetary policy will be focused on achievement and retention of inflation rates at the level of 5-7 percent in the medium term, which is stipulated by the Main monetary policy guidelines of the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic for the medium term, as well as contribution to sustainable economic development.
The next meeting of the Board of the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic which will consider the issue of the policy rate, is scheduled for May 25, 2015. "

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» Israel holds rate, warns shekel rise may weigh on exports
Apr 27, 2015 - by InformedTrades
Israel's central bank maintained its benchmark interest rate at 0.10 percent, as expected by most economists, as inflation remains steady at a negative 1.0 percent, the economy continues to "grow at the moderate rate of the past two years" and the shekel has appreciated against the U.S. dollar and the euro during the last month.
The Bank of Israel (BOI), which cut its rate by 15 basis points in February to counter the negative impact on exports and inflation from an appreciation of the shekel, said the shekel had strengthened by about 3 percent agains the dollar between March 22 and April 24 and 1.3 percent against the euro.
Today the shekel was quoted at 3.89 to the dollar, largely unchanged from 3.90 at the end of 2014 but weaker than the 3.84 that it hit on Feb. 22.
Year-to-date, the BOI added there had been an effective appreciation of 3.7 percent in the shekel against the background of accommodative monetary policy in several major economies and a decline in the projected growth rate of world grade and continued appreciation "are liable to weigh on growth of exports and of the tradable sector.
Data for the first quarter of the year "point to a continuation of the moderate growth rate" of the last two years, the BOI said, adding that goods exports rose by 3.3 percent in March but was down 0.9 percent in the first quarter in U.S. dollar terms when disregarding the impact of work disruptions at Israel Chemicals and "atypical" patterns in the export of aeronautics.
Israel's consumer price inflation rate remained at a negative 1.0 percent in March - the seventh consecutive month of deflation - with the BOI saying short-term expectations were near, or slightly below, the lower bound of the bank's 1-3 percent target range. Longer-term expectations, however, remain stable around the midpoint of the range.

The Bank of Israel issued the following statement with its main considerations for its decision:

[COLOR=#333333 !important]"The main considerations behind the decision [/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]The decision to keep the interest rate for May 2015 unchanged at 0.1 percent is consistent with the Bank of Israel's monetary policy, which is intended to return the inflation rate to within the price stability target of 1–3 percent a year over the next twelve months, and to support growth while maintaining financial stability. The path of the interest rate in the future depends on developments in the inflation environment, growth in Israel and in the global economy, the monetary policies of major central banks, and developments in the exchange rate of the shekel. [/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]The following are the main considerations underlying the decision:[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]v The CPI for March increased by 0.3 percent, led by fuel prices and by the housing component. The rate of inflation as measured over the past 12 months was negative 1.0 percent. Short-term inflation expectations from various sources are near the lower bound of the inflation target range, or slightly below it. Longer-term expectations remained stable around the midpoint of the target range. [/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]v Indicators of economic activity for the first quarter point to the economy continuing to grow at the moderate rate of the past two years. Companies Survey data support this assessment. The Composite State of the Economy Index increased by 0.4 percent in March, and tax revenues increased. Net of extraordinary effects, goods exports increased by 3.3 percent in March, and declined by 0.9 percent in the first quarter, in dollar terms. [/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]v The IMF revised its growth forecasts for Europe and Japan upward, and lowered its projections for US growth and world trade volume. There are signs of recovery in current eurozone data, and some of the disappointing data in the US reflect one-off factors. Market expectations indicate that the date for liftoff of the federal funds rate has been pushed off.[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]v From the monetary policy discussion on March 22, 2015, through April 24, 2015, the shekel strengthened by 3 percent against the dollar, and appreciated by 1.7 percent in terms of the nominal effective exchange rate. For the year to date, there has been an effective appreciation of 3.7 percent in the shekel, against the background of accommodative monetary policy in several major economies, among other reasons. A decline in the projected rate of world trade growth and continued appreciation are liable to weigh on growth of exports and of the tradable sector.[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]v The increase in home prices continues, and new mortgage volume remains elevated. The number of transactions moderated slightly in February, among investors as well.[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]The Bank of Israel will continue to monitor developments in the Israeli and global economies and in financial markets. The Bank will use the tools available to it and will examine the need to use various tools to achieve its objectives of price stability, the encouragement of employment and growth, and support for the stability of the financial system, and in this regard will continue to keep a close watch on developments in the asset markets, including the housing market.[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]The minutes of the monetary discussions prior to the interest rate decision for May 2015 will be published on May 11, 2015. [/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]The decision regarding the interest rate for June 2015 will be published at 16:00 on Monday, May 25, 2015."[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]
[/COLOR][COLOR=#333333 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#333333 !important]

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Reply to This Post 0 Replies | 46 Views | Go to Discussion Page
» Angola maintains rate as inflation rises further
Apr 27, 2015 - by InformedTrades
Angola's central bank maintained its benchmark Basic Interest Rate (BNA) at 9.25 percent, citing an increase in inflation, a depreciation of the kwanza's exchange rate and an annual increase of 13.2 percent in the stock of credit to the economy.
The National Bank of Angola, which raised its rate by 25 basis points on March 30, noted that inflation, as measured by the CPI of the capital of Luanda, was up by an annual 7.87 percent in March, up 0.13 percentage points from February, with food and non-alcoholic beverages the largest contributor to the increase.
Meanwhile, the stock of credit issued by banks reached 3.41 billion kwanza in March.
The exchange rate of the kwanza, which has been hit by the fall oil prices and the impact on government revenue, depreciated by an average 1.62 percent in March from the previous month to 108.26 per U.S. dollar, the central bank said.
The kwanza has been depreciating since September 2014 and was trading at 109.19 to the dollar today, down 6.2 percent since the start of the year.

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» Central Bank News Link List - Apr 27, 2015: Israel’s Flug tops central bankers with most rate surprises
Apr 27, 2015 - by InformedTrades
Here's today's Central Bank News' link list,click throughif you missed the previous link list. The list comprises news about central banks that is not covered by Central Bank News. The list is updated during the day with the latest developments so readers don't miss any important

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» [text] Liberland: This newly-declared microcountry wants to become the world's foremost tax haven - Business Insider
Apr 27, 2015 - by InformedTrades

"The world’s newest microcountry wants to become its foremost tax haven.Liberland, which sits on 2.7 square miles of land along the Danube River between Serbia and Croatia, was founded earlier this month and plans to have only voluntary taxes."
Reply to This Post 0 Replies | 60 Views | Go to Discussion Page

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