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Hi friends, my name is Simit Patel. In addition to being a contributing blogger here at InformedTrades, I also trade currency -- primarily the AUDUSD and USDJPY. I'll be blogging about market analysis and macroeconomics, with a focus on the US economy.

See my full catalog of posts.

Click here to visit my store. It contains products/services I recommend.

The comments I make are not intended to be investment advice. As such, I assume no liability for investment decisions based on comments I make.

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I'll be doing reviews of products and services I use to trade the world's financial markets. Below is my review of Bullion Vault, a service I use to buy and store gold. Bullion Vault. Bullion Vault is a way for you to buy gold and have it stored in a vault, so that you do not have to accept...
25 Comments
Copper has become a renewed subject of interest, as some market prognosticators view copper as a leading indicator of the economy as a whole. This results from the fact that copper is used in a wide variety of businesses -- industrial products, semiconductors, infrastructure, etc. -- and thus...
5 Comments
The case for a severe weakening, and perhaps even total collapse, of the US dollar is something I've been making for some time on my blog. As the dollar has begun experiencing some deeper bouts of weakness and has given back all of its gains since October 2008, I wanted to step back and take a...
14 Comments
As I've blogged many times before, I view the Federal Reserve, the semi-governmental organization that manages the value of the US dollar, as having an inflationary bias, and that they will be able to create the inflation they so desire. I look for trading opportunities consistent with this...
0 Comments
In this post we'll talk about the top priority of every trader and investor: wealth preservation. Specifically, we'll discuss how to preserve wealth in a socialist economy, like an increasing number of the economies in the world today. To understand how wealth preservation differs in socialism...
6 Comments
All may seem calm to the casual observer, and there may even be indications of a recovery: the Dow and S&P have outperformed Treasury bonds and precious metals, and the dollar has remained stable. Is this the beginning of a new bull market? Is it time for permabears to pack it up and go home? The...
3 Comments
Last time, we talked about how we can look at the actions of central planners to understand where asset bubbles will be created. In this post, we'll talk about the specific ways this can be traded. Bubbles Benefit from Active Trading A concern of many value investors -- meaning those...
3 Comments
This is the first article in a series I'll be doing on investing and trading in a socialist economy. http://www.informedtrades.com/images/misc/newsweek-socialists.jpg The cover says it all, but Newsweek has a full article elaborating. But what does it mean? If we are in a socialist...
17 Comments
One of my favorite currencies on a three year outlook is the Australian dollar. There are three reasons for this: 1. In light of the increase in US government spending and the diminishing tax base, I think substantial dollar devaluation is likely over the next 3-4 years. This increases...
5 Comments
First, there was Argentina. Then, there was Iceland. And now the question everyone's asking: will Britain prove to be next? Here's the chart of FXB, the ETF for pound sterling. http://www.informedtrades.com/images/charts/fxb012609.jpg The situation is the same in Britain as in...
2 Comments
With gold falling below $900, many perma bears and gold bugs are asking: what's going on here? Let's start with the chart below, which shows the past four years of gold's price history. The first level at which I'd look to re-evaluate conditions is $770, which is clearly a pivot point and is...
3 Comments
Recently there has been an increase in expectations of hyperinflation in the US in some schools of economic thought, as the notion that the ongoing stimulus packages, coupled with the declining tax base, could lead to a loss of confidence in the US dollar. In this post I'll attempt to provide a...
8 Comments
As most of us who have been watching the financial markets know, yesterday was quite a day. The Federal Reserve announced they would print money to buy Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. The Committee decided today to increase the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet further...
4 Comments
I'm in the process of putting together a few posts going into the details of my trading strategy and my approach to the markets. With that in mind, I wanted to start by posting my trading record. Click on the link below to get my trade history for the past four years -- from February 2005 to...
4 Comments
In a centrally planned economy, finding investment opportunities is primarily a matter of understanding how central planners are affecting the economy: what incentives are they creating? To whom are they transferring wealth? What industries or companies may they shut down? Answering these...
15 Comments
Well, gold bugs around the world have been having a good chuckle of late, as the market is re-affirming the often eccentric and religious-esque views of gold bugs: gold is up over 11% for the year in US dollars, and up over 4% over just the past five trading days. Which begs the question: why?...
8 Comments
As I've been writing about recently, I think the US has completed crossed the chasm from capitalism to socialism, and thus a different approach to investing and financial markets is needed. In the articles below, I've outlined the strategy I'm using to preserve and grow wealth in the US'...
2 Comments
Last time, we talked about commodity money, and how it can be used to preserve wealth as socialist policies create economic instability and distortions in the business cycle. Of course, as traders and investors know, money management is at the heart of successful wealth management. With that in...
0 Comments
Bank of America's share price declines to its lowest level in 25 years on concerns of being nationalized. Bloomberg reports: John Browne notes how this may lead to further nationalization of the banking industry in the United States: Nationalization of the banking/money...
2 Comments
December 31, 2008 - January 8, 2009: Went long AUDUSD and got stopped out after a 110 pip gain. Journal Entry January 12 - January 16, 2009: Short USDJPY; got stopped out for a 49 pip loss. Journal Entry January 20 - January 28, 2009: Short USDJPY; closed out at break even. Journal Entry ...
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