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This is one of my favorite pairs and I will share with a little technical analysis for this one the EURGBP.

Today we dont see "much" action price in the Hourly chart so i was wondering "whats happening in the big picture?", well, its happening a Head and Shoulders pattern on the Daily chart and the neckline was broken about 7 May of this year, then the price make a little pullback and then continues going down and down until 19 Jun (a month ago) begin a bullish channel!, so im waiting right now cause the price can do two things.

1.- Make an other up trend to the top of the channel or at least to the 800 period Moving Averange (in One Hour time-frame).

2.- Broke that bullish channel to the down side to continue to the target point of the Head and Shoulders pattern wich is 0.8230 aprox.



So this is my analysis until now, What do you think?? , dont forget that im begining in this amazing world so dont be cruel at me =)

Thankyou for reading!

Good luck to everyone and see you around!
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Long Term Mexican Peso Analysis (Technically and Fundamentally) Update

Posted 10-02-2009 at 12:58 PM by Ruben.. (Rubenīs Blog (Ideas and Trades ))

Hi my friends!

Well Today price is acting like I espected , so this could be the beggining of a correction wave (2) and inside of this wave is beggining wave (a) wich is a correction too, so Im especting the price to fall a little then a pullback and then fall again (but that will be next week), here is the chart:

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In this H4 chart we see price "in-the-making" of wave (a), note, this wave could be sub-divided in 1,2,3,4,5 waves or...
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Old

Long Term Mexican Peso Analysis (Technically and Fundamentally) EWT Update

Posted 10-01-2009 at 02:41 PM by Ruben.. (Rubenīs Blog (Ideas and Trades ))

Hi friends! Just a quick update of my EWT count on the pair USDMXN.

So price DID went up and that tells me that wave 5 is now ending and now, see the chart:

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Now im specting the start of wave (a) wich could be subdivided in waves 1,2,3,4,5.
But first weīll have to wait to see if wave (5) is already over or if is still in the process of "ending".

Thats all my friends, See you around
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Old

Long Term Mexican Peso Analysis (Technically and Fundamentally) EWT Update

Posted 10-01-2009 at 02:32 PM by Ruben.. (Rubenīs Blog (Ideas and Trades ))

Hi friends,

just a quick update of the USDMXN, The price reacts like I was expecting (see last Blog entry) and the wave 5 is now ending, so im specting to see a drop from now, here is the chart:

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So Im waiting to see if price still goes up or start the wave (a).

Thanks for reading my friends, See you around!
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Old

Long Term Mexican Peso Analysis (Technically and Fundamentally) My vision on UsdMxn using EWT

Posted 09-30-2009 at 03:22 PM by Ruben.. (Rubenīs Blog (Ideas and Trades ))

Hi friends!

This time I will share with you my vision and my Elliott Wave Theory count on the pair UsdMxn and on the Mexican Stock Exhange (IPC).

Ok, Im gonna start with the IPC (Mexican Stock Exchange), in my vision I see a posibble BIG fall in the next months, here is the chart:

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Basically what I see is the end of wave 4 and the beggining of wave 5 wich is a impulsive wave in a downtrend, this means, a BIG DROP on...
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Old

Long Term Mexican Peso Analysis (Technically and Fundamentally) H&S pattern failed. Whats Banxico doing?

Posted 08-31-2009 at 10:44 AM by Ruben.. (Rubenīs Blog (Ideas and Trades ))

Hi friends!

Since 2 weeks ago I was in 2 short trades on USDMXN,like Ive been saying here in my blog the Banxico (Central Bank of Mexico) is taking a monetary policy that will hurt the finnancial health of Mexico in the long term(in my opinion) because its making a big debt, for those of you who dont know what monetary policy the Banxico is doing, here is, Banxico is selling directly to the local banks USD, to supply the demand of USD so everyday Banxico is selling 50 Millions of...
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