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GOLD rally in AUGUST again?!
Posted 07-16-2009 at 06:29 PM by jaro
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Updated 12-31-2012 at 07:41 PM by jaro (update at the end of the year 2012)
Updated 12-31-2012 at 07:41 PM by jaro (update at the end of the year 2012)
Tags all-time-high, commodities, gold, gold rally, silver
august 2001, august 2003, august 2005, august 2007, AUGUST 2009 (!!!), august 2010 was just crazy, AUGUST 2011 (OMG!), ...
will gold rally EVERY AUGUST?
hell, that would be soooooo great for my gold + silver + energy + commodity stocks based portfolio


well, we will discover that soooon
btw, what's your opinion?
take share
,
jaro
ps: how much was 1 oz gold in USD?
yep, gold rallied a lot in fall & winter and it has reached a new all-time-high at $1,226 on december, 3rd ... well, after that it fell a little bit and closed the year 17.27% higher than in july at $1,096.5 (~spot price @ kitco.com, btw, all 6 websites i looked for the closing price had slightly different quotes => crazy!). anyway, the fundamentals for gold have improved since then (more paper money out there, decreasing gold production (peak gold!), increasing (investment) demand, central banks are buyer on balance, etc.) => therefore let's enjoy the GOLDEN RALLY in 2010 as well

of course, do not forget the SILVER!

source: www.goldalert.com/_layouts/images/gold_bars.jpg
will gold rally EVERY AUGUST?
hell, that would be soooooo great for my gold + silver + energy + commodity stocks based portfolio



well, we will discover that soooon

btw, what's your opinion?
take share
,jaro
ps: how much was 1 oz gold in USD?
- july 17, 2009 = $935.0 ........... today

- dec 31, 2009 = $1,096.5 => +25% in 2009, the largest gain in 30 years (according to GATA's newsletter, i'm too lazy/stupid to check/compute it myself)
- dec 31, 2010 = 1,420.74 => +29.57%
- dec 31, 2011 = 1,564.51 => +11.3% (according 2 my brokers website, i'm still too lazy/stupid to get it myself ;-)
- dec 31, 2012 = 1,675.40 => +7.09%
- dec 31, 2013 = ??? btw, will the poor dollar still exist by the end of 2013? whats your bet?
- ...
yep, gold rallied a lot in fall & winter and it has reached a new all-time-high at $1,226 on december, 3rd ... well, after that it fell a little bit and closed the year 17.27% higher than in july at $1,096.5 (~spot price @ kitco.com, btw, all 6 websites i looked for the closing price had slightly different quotes => crazy!). anyway, the fundamentals for gold have improved since then (more paper money out there, decreasing gold production (peak gold!), increasing (investment) demand, central banks are buyer on balance, etc.) => therefore let's enjoy the GOLDEN RALLY in 2010 as well


of course, do not forget the SILVER!

source: www.goldalert.com/_layouts/images/gold_bars.jpg
Total Comments 25
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jaro, you think gold rallies in august for seasonal/cyclical reasons? any particular fundamental cause you think?
of course i am still a gold bug...not sure if it will rally in august, but i think we will see a big rally by end of year....also, COMEX is looking to change rules so that futures can deliver GLD ETFs instead of actual bullion upon delivery. so i think physical delivery is becoming more important.Posted 07-17-2009 at 09:11 AM by Simit Patel
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... the most often mentioned seasonal reason for gold is prolly the wedding season in india, who (which?) is the major consumer of physical gold worldwide, i think
... but there is for sure every year a wedding season in india, isn't it?
but why did gold/silver rally just in years with odd numbers and not in even years? that will prolly forever stay mr. market's secret ... unless someone finds out some major relationship to the moon calendar or the like
good luck,
j.Posted 07-17-2009 at 11:29 AM by jaro
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gold bullion?
hi simit,
by following your link i came to another gold bullion discussion (5 min) ... will gold replace the usd as the next reserve currency?... and much more ...
well, for my taste was that MaxKeiserTV too emotional, but there will be a lot of truth there i think
YouTube - Max Keiser takes offense to Goldman Sachs oligarchy (pt2 of 2)
j.Posted 07-17-2009 at 07:44 PM by jaro
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Wow that Max guy is a complete idiot
- joked about taking a jewish concentration camp public
- said it was too bad more bankers were not killed in 9/11
The biggest problem with the gold as a currency thesis - Mexico has more gold in the ground than France, Germany ,Japan and numerous other countries
Would Mexico all of the sudden be a richer more economicaly stable country ?
I believe Venezueka would then have more wealth than Japan , France, Germany etc etc
The gold as a factor in reserve currency idea is at best idioticPosted 07-19-2009 at 10:19 PM by DMD
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hi dmd, hi all
,
well, even if a launch of a new gold backed currency wouldn't be easy, i still believe we will see it soon. why? if people lose all confidence in their paper dollars, €uros, yens, etc. they will ask for s.th. more stable and at least s.th. what would be convertible in real assets/value at any time. well, that's the point where gold, silver, oil, wheat or the like come into the game, isn't it? gold/silver are the currency of market's choice over thousands of years, so i believe it is very likely they will come back again as the fiat money game is over ...
how could the name of the new (precious metals backed) currency sound like? rubel, gulf dinar, yuan? please do not laugh to loud about me, i do think the new name is the old name: USD! no, i'm not completely crazy because of too much sun, caipirinha or both, but i think there are at least 2 good reasons to believe it:
- 1st - the u.s. government and its small dirty lackeys IMF & world bank own (and prolly also possess!) the most gold bullion on planet earth. i think they possess even much more, e.g. the major parts of world's 2nd biggest gold bullion holder germany is 'stored' in new york :-(. what about gold-ETFs? many of them also hold their gold (bullion?) in the usa ... and there is also world's strongest military force there ... it's toooooooo much to be just a coincidence of fortune :-((
- 2nd - there is already a 1 oz gold 'buffalo' coin valued at $50 and a 1 oz silver 'eagle' coin valued at $1 out there! of course, it will be the convertible price in new dollars, not in today's dollars ... btw, at what price in current dollars should/could that monetary reform happen? according to one of europe's crash prophets (i think he already predicted the 1987 crash successfully) johann saiger (austria) is $5,000 the perfect label to do that, they have just to delete two zeros then

ps: mexico? i think the mexicans will sell their gold/silver to other countries in order to buy groceries, industrial products etc. and they will not keep all their wealth (gold + silver) ...
pps: what a (holy)day 4 gold bugs today! gold +1.3%, silver +1.6%, XAU 2.8%, my portfolio +3.3%, HUI 3.5%
thx goodness, i didn’t wait till august and bought all my ‘stuff’ before

Posted 07-20-2009 at 12:09 PM by jaro
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Hi I meant gold in the ground if it or any other base metal became anything to do with a reserve currency the countries with the most resources would obviously have an advantage .
I have a few about to become gold producers on my watch list and am contemplating accumulation , but from experience at any given second something can alter the price of gold
I don't see a replacement for a reserve currency anytime soon, and would bet my last dollar USD lol that it will not be a base metalPosted 07-21-2009 at 11:23 PM by DMD
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Posted 07-22-2009 at 06:45 AM by Simit Patel
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Posted 08-10-2009 at 06:45 PM by jaro
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Posted 08-10-2009 at 11:02 PM by Ektrader
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Posted 10-06-2009 at 05:56 PM by jaro
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addendum 12-31-2009: what abt recapitulation at the end of the year?
yep, gold rallied a lot in fall & winter and it has reached a new all-time-high at $1,226 on december, 3rd ... well, after that it fell a little bit and closed the year 17.27% higher than in july at $1,096.5 (~spot price @ kitco.com, btw, all 6 websites i looked for the closing price had slightly different quotes => crazy!). anyway, the fundamentals for gold have improved since then (more paper money out there, decreasing gold production (peak gold!), increasing (investment) demand, central banks are buyer on balance, etc.) => therefore let's enjoy the GOLDEN RALLY in 2010 as well
... and of course, do not forget the SILVER!
btw, gold's 2009 gain is 25%, largest in 30 years (according GATA's newsletter, i'm too lazy/stupid to check/compute it myself
)Posted 12-31-2009 at 05:55 PM by jaro
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Quote:addendum 12-31-2009: what abt recapitulation at the end of the year?
yep, gold rallied a lot in fall & winter and it has reached a new all-time-high at $1,226 on december, 3rd ... well, after that it fell a little bit and closed the year 17.27% higher than in july at $1,096.5 (~spot price @ kitco.com, btw, all 6 websites i looked for the closing price had slightly different quotes => crazy!). anyway, the fundamentals for gold have improved since then (more paper money out there, decreasing gold production (peak gold!), increasing (investment) demand, central banks are buyer on balance, etc.) => therefore let's enjoy the GOLDEN RALLY in 2010 as well
... and of course, do not forget the SILVER!Oh really!!Quote:anyway, the fundamentals for gold have improved
I need to see it on the chart first. That'll tell me if theres increasing demand. Lately it's been getting shunned like an unwanted pet. The good news is, It should at least re-test 1225. Then we'll see if it can break through all of the supply sitting there waiting for you. Trapped traders never forget!!.Quote:increasing (investment) demand
l[/QUOTE]Quote:et's enjoy the GOLDEN RALLY in 2010 as well
... and of course, do not forget the SILVER!
Good Luck!!
EktraderPosted 12-31-2009 at 07:52 PM by Ektrader
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Posted 12-31-2009 at 08:29 PM by jaro
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its august and gold is breaking-out on the UPSIDE again

im telling u just in case u didnt mention that gold reached its new weekly/monthly high @ $1,219.7 (my trading platform told me!)
btw, ive just decided NOT 2 spend money on gold&silver call options and invest in some of my gold&silver explorer/junior producer companies instead ... why? IMO there is a much better risk-reward-ratio :-) ... good n8 ...Posted 08-15-2010 at 07:34 PM by jaro
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Posted 09-24-2010 at 12:48 PM by jaro
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dec 31, 2010 => 1 oz of gold = $1,420.74 => +29.57% in 2010 ... pls dont ask me abt silver ... my calculator wouldnt alow me to put the numbers in ... just to rescue me from mere mania
gold in 2010 (onvista) http://www.informedtrades.com/blogs/ja... on Twitpic
btw, are there still folks out there who speak abt DEflation?Posted 01-01-2011 at 01:28 PM by jaro
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Posted 08-08-2011 at 02:06 PM by jaro
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Posted 08-10-2011 at 11:00 AM by jaro
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gold $1,909 ... yabbadabbadoooo!
a screenshot?

baaaang!
we had quite a run the last few days, didnt we?

my euphoric report (and nicer 'readable' pictures): jaro gruber ;-): 1,900.00
go gold bugs go

Posted 08-22-2011 at 05:06 PM by jaro
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Posted 08-24-2011 at 06:47 PM by jaro
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... go gold bugs go, anyway 
