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Rating: 9 votes, 3.11 average.

Intermarket Analysis & Cross Asset Analysis

Posted 04-05-2010 at 08:57 AM by forexer [Show Appreciation] What's This?
Updated 02-26-2012 at 09:10 AM by forexer


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  1. Old Comment
    hektor's Avatar
    Hey Forexer,

    There is not so much left before the USD touches the bottom, I am curious what happens if we break that bottom.!?
    It is very psychological issue! And this level will be reached very soon, long before June, I do not knot what the FED thinks about it. Cause in case the market sells as crazy the USD after the bottom is broken it, well I do not know what can happen!
    Any thoughts ?
    permalink
    Posted 04-28-2011 at 01:05 AM by hektor hektor is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  2. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    We can expect the same thing we saw in Silver when it hit $50. Knee jerk, massive volatility but i think 70 on the DXY would eventually break. You noticed Bernanke didn't mention about the Dollar in his speech. He attributed inflation in energy and staple products to unrest in the middle east and supply constraints, never for once acknowledging that the weakening Dollar was the fundamental reason. You have to look back at the chart on the DXY to see how previous major lows were broken, the market's reaction and volume. This time should be no exception.
    permalink
    Posted 04-28-2011 at 02:51 AM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  3. Old Comment
    hektor's Avatar
    Yep he did not mentioned at all, and actually I was expecting somebody from the journalists to ask him. I was disappointed from their questions I wanted more contradictory ones!
    permalink
    Posted 04-28-2011 at 09:14 AM by hektor hektor is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  4. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar

    Updated: A look at Treasuries

    I guess by June this market would be ready to fall since the Fed says it would not continue its official QE program. Once we break the major support trend line, the bond market should fall hard. There are low amounts of shorting, at least before June 30. I wouldn't short too, anything could happen. Quite far back there were guys who wanted to short the Treasury market, timing is the key here. If some serious money needs to be made, a levered product should be used as a tool.
    permalink
    Posted 04-28-2011 at 10:29 PM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  5. Old Comment
    hektor's Avatar
    Forexer, just one issue that came to me, from the eur/usd thread from Simit.

    What will happen with the equity market after while, even by the next quarter profits run.
    The USD is sinking like titanic, no tightening from the FED=OIL and commodities up.
    If the big companies did not hedge for very long period in advance I think we will see decline in profits. wouldn't that bring the equity markets down????
    If so then where the cash will flow? Into precious metals????
    permalink
    Posted 04-29-2011 at 10:12 AM by hektor hektor is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  6. Old Comment
    Forexer, what level do you think would be suitable for a dip entry on silver? Right now on the daily chart there is a holy grail (Linda Rascke's, one of my favourite setting) opportunity, but it's difficult to make up one's mind with such high volatility... I'll rather wait the close of the daily bar. But what do you think?
    permalink
    Posted 05-01-2011 at 11:37 PM by tradermax tradermax is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  7. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    $43.80 will be the first area of significant demand, this trend line is steep so maybe it might break. Second area is stronger, around $42 but should rise if price drops slower. Technical support lies at the congestion zone between $40 to $41.20, this is massive support. I don't think Silver will drop below $42 but if it does, the big buyers will overwhelm the shorts. There are so much bids below the market now. These bids are so latent and sticky. Silver is still in backwardation! It's crazy it has been such even at near record high prices and for so long a time period.
    permalink
    Posted 05-01-2011 at 11:58 PM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  8. Old Comment
    ehi Forexer, silver is forming a little base around 43,8, exactly where you expected i to. On the daily it's still a holy grail trade, on the 4hrs is an inside bar, on the 30 mins it's a triple bottom... I'm a little tempted to get in for a little rush. What do you think?
    Ciao

    p.s.: I'm always looking at the mini future, the vehicle I utilize...
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 07:56 AM by tradermax tradermax is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  9. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    IMo $42 woud be better to get in. There's alot of supply now and the short term trend line might not hold. There are bids but the offers are slamming them down. I'm personally planning to buy more calls at $42 or there abouts.
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 08:36 AM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  10. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Also there's no rush, Silver will must like have to base around to establish base camp. I'm not flustered with the massive downfall yesterday. The guys covering now are going to be crying in a few months time hehe
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 08:42 AM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  11. Old Comment
    larryfolson's Avatar
    Good trading forxer
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 09:03 AM by larryfolson larryfolson is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  12. Old Comment
    Magic's Avatar
    Gold and Oil are down, too. The USD slightly up. But get this: the Fed Funds has a huge gap up and the Libor a small gap up. The 10 year has been moving up for a while. Is the yield curve going to flatten? What's going on???
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 09:47 AM by Magic Magic is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  13. Old Comment
    thx forexer, will follow your advice, your the maximum expert in silver I know...
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 09:57 AM by tradermax tradermax is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  14. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by tradermax View Comment
    thx forexer, will follow your advice, your the maximum expert in silver I know...
    don't ever follow me please, you'll get yourself tangled up lol. I can share my views but its your account and your trigger. Hope i was some what helpful
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 10:17 AM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  15. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Magic View Comment
    Gold and Oil are down, too. The USD slightly up. But get this: the Fed Funds has a huge gap up and the Libor a small gap up. The 10 year has been moving up for a while. Is the yield curve going to flatten? What's going on???
    I don't think the bond market will be able to take it when the FED stops its official 75 Billion a month purchases. The 10 year looks weak, so does the 2 year. I haven't look at the yield curve yet but i think it's going to be a steepener. I don't think the curve will flatten but i have to do some study first before i can share my views. The bond market is very fearful after June 30th. 3 more weeks to the debt ceiling issue (not sure what it means)... does that spell disaster for commodities and equities which rallies have been started by the falling dollar? Do you think the economy can sustain higher short term rates?
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 10:22 AM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  16. Old Comment
    Thanks Forexer, you have the gift of prophecy.
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 04:17 PM by tradermax tradermax is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  17. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    $42 proved too weak. Now we hope $41.20 to $40 will trigger massive buying. If you compare bullmarkets in history you'll see corrections tend to be very sharp and quick. The purpose of which is to shake people out. JUST SIT TIGHT guys
    permalink
    Posted 05-03-2011 at 08:23 PM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  18. Old Comment
    hektor's Avatar
    Forexer,
    I believe we are due to stronger correction. As both metals are moving together and looking at gold I believe we will go down more. For gold targets are 1500 or 1450 and maybe even more.
    Photobucket

    look at the volume from yesterday and the candle, for me this is very very bearish, but one never knows
    permalink
    Posted 05-04-2011 at 01:03 AM by hektor hektor is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  19. Old Comment
    slow to learn's Avatar
    Do ya all think silver could slide to 37.96 ? That is where I see MAJOR support? Im interested in buying physical. WOW what a buying opportunity !!!!!
    permalink
    Posted 05-04-2011 at 06:15 PM by slow to learn slow to learn is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  20. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    So i've been proven wrong, how sad. But yes STL, your level is indeed the next strong support than is visible on the daily. On my chart $39 is support but isn't really visible and obvious. $38 is the top of that mini accumulation you mentioned and the 50% of the entire move from $26.3 to $49.80. Very powerful level. IF it doesn't stall there then i think we're in more trouble.

    The thing that his ground and pounding silver is just the shorts in the futures market. They just keep raiding the market. We know $8 Billion in transaction volume in the paper market is far greater than the daily physical demand. I don't know where it will end i hope it stops falling soon as my options are raking in huge losses. One thing i learned so far is to be extremely alert and trust your own guts. On that monday where the buying climax occurred i wanted to cover but when US opened, Silver was already down $2+ so i decided not to sell my calls.

    There was some greed involved... boo!
    permalink
    Posted 05-04-2011 at 06:55 PM by forexer forexer is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
 

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