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Guppy disrespects Forexers channel

Posted 12-09-2010 at 06:57 AM by Elijah [Show Appreciation] What's This?

132.25 (38.2) is not likely to hold here. So much for that downward channel.

I say down to 131.35ish (50%) then back up to test 133.00. if 131.35 doesn't hold then its back down to test 61.8 @ 130.45ish.

LT still up and 129.50 did hold after all except for a spike or two below that.

It sure looked like a nice channel down.

I was so wrong on GU and USD looks like it wont get past 81.00 forget 82.00 for now.
After Obama's (taxcut) speech (which seemed rather encouraging) it would seem a rally would be in order, but the juggling act continues.

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  1. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Yup it was a perfect channel break. Very powerful up move.
    permalink
    Posted 12-09-2010 at 07:22 AM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  2. Old Comment
    larryfolson's Avatar
    Forexer, what is your position on the Guppy?
    permalink
    Posted 12-09-2010 at 08:25 AM by larryfolson larryfolson is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  3. Old Comment
    The Chartist's Avatar
    Forexer, do you remember my down trend zone on this pair?

    permalink
    Posted 12-09-2010 at 08:35 AM by The Chartist The Chartist is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  4. Old Comment
    Elijah's Avatar

    I think if guppy can hold 132.25 here it may be easier to break thru 133.00

    but 132.25 could hold but it really doesn't look like it will.
    permalink
    Posted 12-09-2010 at 08:36 AM by Elijah Elijah is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  5. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by The Chartist View Comment
    Forexer, do you remember my down trend zone on this pair?

    Yea. I'm sorry and embarrassed i disregarded your analysis
    permalink
    Posted 12-09-2010 at 08:54 AM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  6. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by larryfolson View Comment
    Forexer, what is your position on the Guppy?
    I have no position on now. I got out of my shorts long ago. I need to see it play with 134-40ish area before i enter long or short. Its quite uncertain here.
    permalink
    Posted 12-09-2010 at 09:00 AM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  7. Old Comment
    The Chartist's Avatar
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by forexer View Comment
    Yea. I'm sorry and embarrassed i disregarded your analysis
    I wasn't looking for that lol I Just wanted to point it out for learning purposes and to help me become more confident in the way I am drawing them.
    permalink
    Posted 12-09-2010 at 09:05 AM by The Chartist The Chartist is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  8. Old Comment
    larryfolson's Avatar
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by forexer View Comment
    I have no position on now. I got out of my shorts long ago. I need to see it play with 134-40ish area before i enter long or short. Its quite uncertain here.
    I must have missed your analysis on that trade. Darn, I been trying to follow you on that.

    I'm not getting e-mails of peoples post not sure why.
    permalink
    Posted 12-09-2010 at 01:01 PM by larryfolson larryfolson is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  9. Old Comment
    Elijah's Avatar
    And I know what you are thinking here, probably the same as me, continuation down, 50.0% 131.30 held for now, but guppy is struggling with 131.85 currently, and if it cant break thru here real soon look for her to tumble below 50.0% again @ 131.30 and head to the next fib line 100 pips down.
    permalink
    Posted 12-14-2010 at 10:29 AM by Elijah Elijah is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  10. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    131.80 is like the pivot for now i think. Doesn't seem like its ready for a great trend yet, as always!
    permalink
    Posted 12-14-2010 at 09:53 PM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  11. Old Comment
    Elijah's Avatar
    Guppy is heading for the border (southern), I expect 131.00 to hold for now, another good place to add another long
    permalink
    Posted 12-15-2010 at 06:43 AM by Elijah Elijah is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  12. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Damn, she just touched the lower donchain line on the h4, this means it might go lower.
    permalink
    Posted 12-15-2010 at 08:51 AM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  13. Old Comment
    Elijah's Avatar
    Say hello to 130.45
    permalink
    Posted 12-15-2010 at 11:42 AM by Elijah Elijah is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  14. Old Comment
    Elijah's Avatar
    guppy is now wondering how far south she is going to have to go before forexer picks her up and takes her back to the North Pole
    permalink
    Posted 12-21-2010 at 08:08 AM by Elijah Elijah is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  15. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar


    Still cannot clear the strong demand area!
    permalink
    Posted 12-21-2010 at 08:18 AM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  16. Old Comment
    Elijah's Avatar
    161.8% @ 126.52 ?
    permalink
    Posted 12-21-2010 at 02:29 PM by Elijah Elijah is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  17. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Guppy might be heading higher soon. I say this because the h4 volumes and the daily volumes are decreasing as she head south. Maybe this is just some Christmas effect but that is something to note.
    permalink
    Posted 12-22-2010 at 07:21 AM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  18. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    Anyways the daily shows price hitting the lower donchain line. The lower donchain line has been continually pressed down. This is quite bearish.

    Elijah, what do you think about the eurusd vs guppy? Are they co-related? Quite extreme as i see it. eur vs sterling and dollar vs yen.
    permalink
    Posted 12-22-2010 at 07:23 AM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  19. Old Comment
    Elijah's Avatar
    I regularly watch Eur/usd as that is like a gauge to the world. I used to trade the EUR/JPY
    but found guppies swings were more fierce. ANd nothing better than being on the right side of the market on a fierce move, as long as you have the nerves to hold on and sit on your hands and let the trade play out.

    Never really thought of or tried to corrrelate the EUR/USD to the GBP/JPY
    permalink
    Posted 12-23-2010 at 06:26 AM by Elijah Elijah is offline [Show Appreciation] What's This?
  20. Old Comment
    forexer's Avatar
    So whats your outlook for guppy in 2011? Should the pound rally hard against the yen at last?! Saw in the news flash that UK hinted that they were thinking of "normalizing" rates in 2011. What do you think? Of course i'm talking about large swings in terms of months, not days or hours!
    permalink
    Posted 12-23-2010 at 12:45 PM by forexer forexer is online now [Show Appreciation] What's This?
 

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