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Old 02-20-2012, 02:08 PM   #1 (permalink)
 
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Default Greek Bailout Shows a Top

Could this greek bailout be a top just like the last one?
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Old 02-20-2012, 06:44 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Nice chart. The Dow is really close to $13K as well which is a strong physchological resistance point. Interesting times. One has to think things are ready to make a big step up or a big step down.

Europe melting down, Greece, Italy- could be a big step down.

Election Year, Fed pretty quiet lately. Maybe they stop in and do something big?- Maybe a big step up.

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Old 02-20-2012, 11:38 PM   #3 (permalink)
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i think it's tough to connect another bailout with a market top in the dow. we have had quite a run so the case for a correction in US equities is strong, but i think ongoing expansion of the US money supply and no yield bonds make a solid case for money to continue going into US equities. so i'm bullish on US stocks.
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Old 02-21-2012, 07:05 AM   #4 (permalink)
 
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The /ES has reached a zone where i would short and walk away. Historically, my 'short and walk away' calls have been right, almost all the time. As a caveat, shorting in free liquidity isn't favorable. The market's hubris is something to take note of. Specifically, 1371 is the line in the sand for the /ES.

US equities WILL fall. Just WHEN and how much. This is a test of patience, we've been through this early last year.
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Old 02-21-2012, 10:05 AM   #5 (permalink)
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Simit Patel View Post
i think it's tough to connect another bailout with a market top in the dow. we have had quite a run so the case for a correction in US equities is strong, but i think ongoing expansion of the US money supply and no yield bonds make a solid case for money to continue going into US equities. so i'm bullish on US stocks.
Im not sure I understand your logic.

It sounds more like your giving a reason why equities are high, but no reason to prove they will continue to go higher.
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Old 02-21-2012, 10:07 AM   #6 (permalink)
 
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Quote:
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The /ES has reached a zone where i would short and walk away. Historically, my 'short and walk away' calls have been right, almost all the time. As a caveat, shorting in free liquidity isn't favorable. The market's hubris is something to take note of. Specifically, 1371 is the line in the sand for the /ES.

US equities WILL fall. Just WHEN and how much. This is a test of patience, we've been through this early last year.
Thats what I've done; open a short position with low leverage and just hold it.
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Old 02-21-2012, 10:10 AM   #7 (permalink)
 
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And yet again, the bears are too cowardly to short... maybe tomorrow.
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Old 02-21-2012, 04:56 PM   #8 (permalink)
 
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I was shorting but I closed position to take some risk off...Big mistake. I shorted during the gap up on Sunday.
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Old 02-22-2012, 07:47 AM   #9 (permalink)
 
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The FTSE and other European indices are getting bid into very potent supply. Momo has been waning, and so has volume.
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